Friday, August 1, 2014

Aircraft Accidents: there he has a law of series?

Aircraft Accidents: there he has a law of series?
Erwan Lecomte By Erwan Lecomte
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Posted on 01-08-2014 at 16:10

The summer of 2014 was marked by a litany of disaster and air disasters. Is it a mere coincidence?
The location of the crash site of the Air Algeria Sipa The location of the crash site of the Air Algeria Sipa

DRAMA. Flight MH 370 which disappears at sea, Boeing 777 shot down over Ukraine, crash of a Taiwan airliner TransAsia Airways plane crash of Air Algeria ... After such a series black fatal air accidents in such a short period, it is very human to look at the plane with caution.

http://droidmonster.webs.com/apps/blog/show/42534894-the-great-theorist-of-superstrings
https://mysquidoolenses.wordpress.com/2014/07/31/the-progress-of-theoretical-physics-and-cosmology/
http://myandroidstuff.tumblr.com/post/93391651234/ssa-service-spacecraft-sub-assembly-of-the-atc

Indeed difficult not to think of the famous "law of series" that the probability of having so many accidents in such a short time is too small for them to be by chance. Yet c e reasoning suffers from two shortcomings that not obvious. But are indicative of our  poor intuition for statistics.

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